May 13, 2014
10:15 AM - 11:15 AM
John S. Hollywood
Senior Operations Researcher
RAND Corporation
This presentation will discuss over one hundred completed and foiled plots against the US from 1999 on to better understand both how the terrorist threat has changed over time and how well we are countering those threats collectively. We found that the risk of catastrophic attacks has decreased over the past decade while the risk of sub-catastrophic attacks has grown somewhat. The role of law enforcement agencies and the general public has proved to be essential in preventing terrorism, with almost half of all plots being foiled through law enforcement discoveries and almost one quarter through reports from the public.
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